
The basic difference of opinion on Global
Climate Change rests on the relative accuracy of the above graph.
It is an updated graph of the original created by Michael Mann,
Raymond
Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes in 1998. According to the National
Academy of
Sciences and the Climate Research community at large, the graph is
reasonably correct and demonstrates unequivocably that there is a
recent warming trend that is both unprecidented and alarming.
The dispute of the graph is largely on tree-ring
data and it's accuracy. Fortunately, tree-ring data wasn't the
only source. There is quite a lot of corroborating
evidence that supports the graph using temperature data gathered
from other sources, some of that data goes back considerably further
than the data from tree-rings, yet telling essentially the same story.
There is another opinion, mostly political opinion
from the oil industry that Global Climate Change is occurring, but that
it is a natural (and largely inevitable) cycle and we need to adapt to
it instead of wasting time and money trying to prevent it. To
date, there has been no credible theory about what could be causing
this warming trend other than human intervention. All of the
natural sources have been ruled out as major culprits.
The "Al Gore" question: It is becoming
increasingly popular to say that GCC is a hoax because Al Gore is a
dweeb, or because he stands to make tons of money off of carbon
trades. This argument is illogical. Al Gore is no
scientist. The data was collected long before he produced "An
Inconvenient Truth". The data is there for anyone to look
at. We can go take a
look at it and none of it was collected by the ex-vice
president. If a known bankrobber ran into a store and shouted
"fire" you might not listen to him, but if the street outside was
filled with smoke and you saw a firetruck parked at the curb, you would
have a tendency to take his word for it. Regardless, whether or
not there is a fire does not depend on the trustworthiness of the
bankrobber. GCC does not rise and fall because of Al Gores
reputation or any of his actions. It's merits are completely
separate from him. If he was a confirmed pathological liar, you
would do what you should do anyway, look for what the science says and
not trust what he, or any other current or ex-politician says on the
matter.
But even if you confine your research to scientists,
there is also a question is some peoples minds about
the consensus about GCC. Some will say that even the experts
can't agree that GCC is really happening or that it is indeed created
by human actions. This is wrong. A survey by Doran and Zimmerman shows
approximately 97% of the Climatologists who are active in the research
on GCC say that yes, GCC exists and humans are likely responsible.
The "Global Cooling" argument: In 1970, an
errant story of some scientific research claimed that scientists
thought we were headed for a small ice age or at least some severe
cooling. This was not the case.
So what's in store for us as far as warming is
concerned?
Human activity accounts for 26.4 billion
tons of CO2 per year (UN IPCC) 350-450
parts per million (Bill
McKibben, James
Hansen, Paul
Brown) will warm the earth by 2 degrees C
above pre-industrial levels, which is supposed to be enough to create a
feedback loop in the atmosphere to trigger runaway warming, which will,
in turn produce another ice age (at least for the North Atlantic coasts
of Europe and America) when the Atlantic conveyor shuts
down. We're at somewhere around 375 parts per million of
atmospheric CO2 right now, and either we're close to the tipping point,
or we're already past it depending on who you talk to. Assuming
that the current levels persist (and don't increase as all the
projections say) we're heading to +1.5 degrees
C in the next 20 years.
According to Peter Wadhams,
Professor of Ocean Physics at Cambridge and Head of the Polar Physics
Group, all of the Arctic sea ice will be gone within thirty
years. Within less than 20 years, the only sea ice during the
Summer will be around Greenland and Ellesmere Island. There are
already shipping companies planning for when the Northwest passage is
navigatable year-round.
Clean
coal has been advanced as the savior of our
energy infrastructure, but with current technologies, it will not
reduce emissions significantly and it is debatable that it ever could
and even the current technology is 30 years (or more) away from
implementation [MORE DATA NEEDED].
Cap and
Trade is starting to look like a fake solution. According
to projections by the Energy Information Administration and
the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, the net effect of the
House cap-and-trade bill will likely be to slow future job growth.
Using 11 different possible future scenarios, EIA projects that future
job growth might be constrained by something between 388,000 (under the
most optimistic assumptions) and 2.3 million (assuming everything goes
badly) 20 years from now. CBO also says employment would likely be
lower than it would without the legislation – but only "a little."
Coal
67% more CO2 than natural gas.
Accounts for 40% of US greenhouse gas emissions
Methane
Accounts for 9% of US greenhouse gas emissions
Emails: The
"scandal" involving alleged secret email between climate scientists has
been massively overblown by climate skeptics. According to them,
those emails prove that climatologists have been lying to the public in
order to trick us into believing that Global Climate Change is bogus
and/or that humans are responsible.
I have only one thing to say about these accusations
and about the so-called scandal: View THIS
This video continues HERE. Here
is a Guardian
article on the same subject.
The findings on the inquiry into emails revealed by
Michael Mann are HERE.
Sea ice: Antarctica
This is a partial list of the groups that endorse the idea that
man-made Global Climate Change isn't just wrong, but a purposeful hoax
perpetrated because of some profit based agenda of the environmental
movement. Some deny GCC altogether. Others think there is
some other cause and that we can't or shouldn't try to fix it.
The United States Chamber of Commerce
The Heratige Foundation
George Marshall Institute
Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine
Note about the Heratige Foundation: Their public policy seems to have
shifted from one of denial to one of energy conservation based on the
United States freeing itself from dependency on foreign oil, although
many of their members still assert that GCC is not real or that there
is not enough scientific evidence to support it.